Will Esteban Ocon win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Low probability for Esteban Ocon to win the 2026 F1 Australian GP.

The market shows a strong consensus against Esteban Ocon winning the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, with a 99.95% probability of a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, indicating a general lack of confidence in Ocon's chances for this event.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Ocon's victory.
• 2 Current odds suggest a well-balanced market with minimal edge.
• 3 Confidence level of 75 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 101 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Historical performance and team dynamics may influence future odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET).

If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.