Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

F1 has an 80% chance to win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that F1 will win Best Sound, with an 80% probability. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 78.5%, suggesting the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5. Confidence in this prediction is moderate at 60 out of 100, with 121 hours remaining until the outcome is determined.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors F1 for Best Sound.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is minimal, indicating consensus.
• 3 The confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time pressure is increasing with only 121 hours until the awards.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Sound.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Score when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.