Will Fernando Alonso achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Alonso to achieve pole position in the upcoming Sprint Qualifying.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Fernando Alonso achieving pole position, with a 99.95% probability of 'NO'. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher chance of 1.55% for 'YES', indicating some divergence in expectations, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60/100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher chance for 'YES' at 1.55%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is 101 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.