Will Fernando Alonso achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Low probability for Alonso achieving the fastest lap at the 2026 Australian GP.

The market shows a strong consensus against Fernando Alonso achieving the fastest lap, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that current sentiment heavily favors other contenders for this outcome.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight increase in 'YES' probability to 1%.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve according to the driver who achieves the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET).

If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially credited with the fastest lap in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The fastest lap must be set during the race itself; times from practice sessions, qualifying, or any other sessions are not considered.

If no driver completes a lap during the race (e.g., due to a red flag ending the race prematurely), this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.