Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ferrari has a 21.5% chance of winning the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship.

The prediction market indicates a low probability of 21.5% for Ferrari to become the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion, suggesting skepticism about their competitiveness. With a confidence level of 75/100, the market appears fairly priced, indicating that current sentiment aligns with the probabilities offered. The time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes in team performance or strategy.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily against Ferrari's championship chances.
• 2 The probability reflects a cautious outlook on Ferrari's future performance.
• 3 No significant edge indicates the market is balanced and fairly priced.
• 4 Time until the championship allows for potential shifts in team dynamics.
• 5 Historical performance may influence perceptions of Ferrari's competitiveness.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.