Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Flavio Cobolli has a low chance of winning the 2026 Men's US Open.

The prediction market indicates a 0.40% probability of Flavio Cobolli winning the 2026 Men's US Open, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 1.9%. With a confidence level of 55/100 and an edge of 1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting skepticism about Cobolli's chances. The time to expiry is substantial at 4162 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Market probability shows strong skepticism about Cobolli's chances.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher but still low probability.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in the market.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for significant changes in player performance.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 1.5.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.