Will Franco Colapinto achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Franco Colapinto is highly unlikely to secure pole position in the Sprint Qualifying.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Franco Colapinto achieving pole position, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The AI model also reflects this sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 1.55%. This indicates a general expectation that Colapinto will not perform at the level required for pole position in the upcoming event.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.95%.
• 2 AI probability suggests a slight chance for YES at 1.55%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 101 hours.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.