Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Franco Colapinto is unlikely to secure pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The prediction market indicates a very low probability of 0.05% for Colapinto achieving pole position, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a 1% probability, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in the NO outcome.
• 2 Current sentiment heavily favors other drivers for pole position.
• 3 Historical performance data suggests Colapinto has limited chances.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for rapid changes.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.