Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Market shows low confidence in Bortoleto winning the 2026 F1 Championship.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Gabriel Bortoleto will not be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion, with a 99.65% probability for 'NO'. The low probability assigned to 'YES' suggests that market participants have limited confidence in his chances, despite a relatively balanced edge indicating fair pricing.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' for Bortoleto's championship chances.
• 2 The market probability shows a significant gap between 'YES' and 'NO'.
• 3 Pulse AI also reflects low confidence in Bortoleto's success at 1%.
• 4 The edge of 0.65 suggests the market is fairly priced based on available information.
• 5 With 6536 hours until expiry, there is ample time for sentiment to shift.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.