Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Low probability of Gabriel Bortoleto winning the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The market shows a strong consensus against Gabriel Bortoleto winning, with a 99.8% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 1.7% for a YES outcome, indicating a general skepticism about his chances. The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current sentiment and analysis.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for Bortoleto.
• 2 Market probability suggests minimal confidence in his chances.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market expectations.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 193 hours.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent betting activity.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 22, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.