Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

High probability for George Russell to finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix.

The market shows an 83.50% probability for George Russell to secure a podium finish, indicating strong confidence among participants. With a slight edge of -1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced compared to the Pulse AI's prediction of 82%. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, suggesting some uncertainty remains as the event approaches in 235 hours.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Russell finishing on the podium.
• 2 The probability reflects strong confidence in his team's performance.
• 3 Historical data may support high podium finishes for Russell in similar conditions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, allowing for reliable price movements.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 235 hours until the race, allowing for potential shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Japanese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Japanese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.