Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

George Russell's chances to win the 2026 F1 Chinese GP are closely contested.

The prediction market shows a slight edge for George Russell winning the race, with a probability of 52.50%. However, the Pulse AI probability indicates a tighter race, suggesting a competitive environment. The edge of -1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced, reflecting balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market probability favors Russell slightly at 52.50%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a very close contest with 51% for Russell.
• 3 The edge of -1.5 indicates fair market pricing.
• 4 Confidence level at 60/100 shows moderate certainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is 218 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 22, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.