Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

George Russell has a slight edge to win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix.

The prediction market indicates a 56.5% probability for George Russell to win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, which aligns closely with the Pulse AI's estimate of 55%. The market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of -1.5, suggesting balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Market probability favors Russell slightly over the NO option.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction is closely aligned with market sentiment.
• 3 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in team strategies.
• 5 Current market conditions suggest balanced liquidity.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.