Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?

Market indicates low likelihood of Gold hitting $4,000 by March end.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Gold reaching $4,000, with a 98.8% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 4.7%, suggesting some minor uncertainty in the market.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' on Gold hitting $4,000.
• 2 Historical trends show Gold rarely reaching such high lows in short timeframes.
• 3 Liquidity appears stable, with no major fluctuations in trading volume.
• 4 Time pressure is limited with 455 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market probabilities suggest a balanced view, with a slight edge towards 'NO'.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement p