Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Market indicates low probability of Gold hitting $4,200 by June's end.

The prediction market shows a 21.5% chance of Gold reaching a low of $4,200 by the end of June, with a stronger consensus against it at 78.5%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 25%, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily towards Gold not hitting $4,200.
• 2 The probability gap indicates a strong consensus among traders.
• 3 Historical trends show Gold's volatility but rarely reaching such lows.
• 4 Liquidity in this market appears stable, supporting current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 2700 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement pr