Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of March?

Market indicates low likelihood of Gold hitting $4,700 by March end.

The prediction market shows a 34% chance of Gold reaching a low of $4,700 by the end of March, with a stronger consensus against it at 66%. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 39%, indicating some uncertainty in market sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards Gold not hitting $4,700.
• 2 The probability gap suggests a consensus against the YES outcome.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 55.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 390 hours.
• 5 Liquidity may impact the volatility of market predictions.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.

Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.

Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.

Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.

This market will resolve based on the settlement p