Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Illinois has a low chance of winning the 2026 NCAA Tournament at 4.15%.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Illinois will not win the 2026 NCAA Tournament, with a probability of 95.85% for a NO outcome. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that current sentiments and expectations are aligned with the probabilities presented.

• 1 Market probability for Illinois winning is low at 4.15%.
• 2 The NO outcome is heavily favored at 95.85%.
• 3 Current market sentiment suggests fair pricing with no edge.
• 4 Confidence level in the prediction is relatively high at 75/100.
• 5 Time to expiry is 608 hours, allowing for potential market shifts.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.