Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ireland has a low chance of qualifying for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market indicates an 18.5% probability for Ireland's qualification, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher 20%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 386 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans heavily against Ireland qualifying.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI is minimal, indicating consensus.
• 3 Historical performance may influence perceptions of Ireland's chances.
• 4 Liquidity in the market appears stable, reflecting consistent interest.
• 5 Time remaining until the event could impact market dynamics as matches approach.

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).