Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Isack Hadjar has a very low chance of winning the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix.

The prediction market indicates a 0.05% probability of Isack Hadjar winning the event, suggesting minimal confidence in his chances. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, with a 1% probability for a win, indicating a consensus on his underdog status. Given the edge of 0.95, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Hadjar's historical performance does not support a win probability.
• 3 Market liquidity is stable, reflecting consistent betting behavior.
• 4 Time pressure is moderate with 116 hours until the event.
• 5 The edge indicates that the market is accurately reflecting probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 7, 2026 (ET).

If the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 14, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.