Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Isack Hadjar is unlikely to win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix according to current market data.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Isack Hadjar winning, with a 99.25% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects skepticism, assigning a 94.25% probability to 'NO', indicating a significant divergence from the market's low YES probability of 0.75%. However, the edge of 5 suggests insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Hadjar's recent performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 Market liquidity appears limited, affecting confidence levels.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 452 hours.
• 5 Historical performance trends may not favor Hadjar in this context.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.