Will Israel Adesanya win by KO or TKO?

The market favors a NO outcome for Adesanya winning by KO or TKO.

Current market probability indicates a 74% chance that Israel Adesanya will not win by KO or TKO, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 27.5% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 30 hours, the market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 1.5.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong preference for NO at 74%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is 30 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.
• 5 An edge of 1.5 indicates the market is fairly priced at this time.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel Adesanya defeats Joe Pyfer at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.