Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Italy has a 57.5% chance of qualifying for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market indicates a 57.5% probability for Italy's qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, suggesting a favorable outlook. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 56%, indicating a consensus on Italy's chances. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors Italy's qualification.
• 2 Historical performance in World Cup qualifiers may influence outcomes.
• 3 Market probability is closely aligned with AI predictions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market suggests moderate interest from participants.
• 5 Time to expiry allows for several qualifying matches to impact probabilities.

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).