Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Jannik Sinner has a 30% chance to win the 2026 Men's US Open according to market data.

The prediction market indicates a 30% probability of Jannik Sinner winning the 2026 Men's US Open, with a slightly higher AI probability of 31.5%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting balanced sentiment among traders. With 4404 hours until the event, there is ample time for sentiment to shift based on player performance and other factors.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome at 70%.
• 2 Sinner's recent performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 The market's edge of 1.5 indicates fair pricing.
• 4 AI probability slightly favors YES, suggesting potential optimism.
• 5 Time until the event allows for significant shifts in sentiment.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.