Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Low probability for João Fonseca to win the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon.

The prediction market indicates a 3.20% chance of João Fonseca winning the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon, while Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability of 4.7%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and an edge of 1.5, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting skepticism about Fonseca's chances.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Fonseca's win.
• 2 Pulse AI's probability is slightly higher than the market's.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 The time to expiry is substantial at 2916 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 The market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.