Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?

The market strongly favors Spieth not winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Jordan Spieth winning the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, with a consensus against his victory. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 1% probability to a win, suggesting that the market is accurately reflecting sentiment and expectations regarding his performance.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly against Spieth winning.
• 2 The probability of a win is currently assessed at 0% by the market.
• 3 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 4 There is a high confidence level of 90/100 in the current probabilities.
• 5 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by March 14, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).