Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Kosovo has a 33.5% chance of qualifying for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The prediction market indicates a lower probability of Kosovo qualifying for the World Cup, with a 33.5% chance compared to a 35% estimate from Pulse AI. The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 1.5, suggesting balanced sentiment among participants. The confidence level is moderate at 60 out of 100, reflecting some uncertainty in the outcome.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards Kosovo not qualifying.
• 2 Pulse AI's estimate is slightly higher than the market probability.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 indicates a fair pricing of the market.
• 4 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 5 Time until expiry is 385 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This is a market on which teams will qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g. they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from its group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA. (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).