Will Kyle Nelson win by KO or TKO?

Kyle Nelson has a 28% chance of winning by KO or TKO according to the market.

The market indicates a 28% probability of Kyle Nelson winning by KO or TKO, while the Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher likelihood at 31%. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 4 hours, the market appears fairly priced, showing a notable edge of 3%.

• 1 Market probability favors a NO outcome at 72%.
• 2 Pulse verdict aligns with market sentiment, indicating skepticism about a KO/TKO win.
• 3 AI probability suggests a slightly more optimistic view for a YES outcome at 31%.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the current probabilities.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, which may lead to increased volatility in the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Nelson defeats Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.