Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

LaMelo Ball is unlikely to lead the NBA in points for the 2025–26 season.

The market indicates a strong belief that LaMelo Ball will not lead the NBA in points, with a probability of 99.45% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, assigning a 97.95% probability to the 'NO' outcome, suggesting that current sentiment is heavily against Ball achieving this feat.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors 'NO' at 99.45%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment at 97.95% for 'NO'.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is 676 hours, allowing for potential shifts in player performance or team dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).