Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Lando Norris has a low chance of winning the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship.

The market indicates a 3.05% probability of Lando Norris becoming the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion, with a strong consensus against this outcome at 96.95%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting that current sentiment does not favor Norris's chances, despite a moderate confidence level of 75/100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO' at 96.95%.
• 2 Norris's historical performance may not support championship contention.
• 3 Market confidence is moderate at 75/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial at 6530 hours, allowing for potential shifts.
• 5 No edge indicates the market is balanced and fairly priced.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.