Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Lewis Hamilton is highly unlikely to secure pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The market indicates a strong consensus against Lewis Hamilton achieving pole position, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, suggesting minimal chance for a 'YES' outcome, indicating that current factors heavily favor other competitors.

• 1 Market shows unanimous belief Hamilton will not secure pole.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 No recent indicators suggest a shift in Hamilton's qualifying potential.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.