Market shows a tight split on Luan Lacerda winning by KO or TKO.
The prediction market indicates a nearly even split between a KO/TKO win for Luan Lacerda and not, with probabilities at 49.50% and 50.5%, respectively. The Pulse AI suggests a slight edge for a KO/TKO win at 52.5%, indicating some confidence in that outcome, but overall, the market is considered fairly priced with a low edge of 3.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luan Lacerda defeats Hecher Sosa at UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos, scheduled for March 14, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.