Will Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?

Luke Riley is highly unlikely to win by KO or TKO according to market data.

The prediction market shows a 0.05% probability of Luke Riley winning by KO or TKO, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low likelihood of a KO or TKO victory. With an edge of 0.95, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a high level of confidence in the NO outcome.

• 1 Market probability for KO/TKO is extremely low at 0.05%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is slightly higher but still under 1%.
• 3 The market shows strong confidence in the NO outcome with an 85/100 rating.
• 4 An edge of 0.95 suggests the market is well-aligned with expectations.
• 5 Factors influencing the market include fighter performance history and matchup dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luke Riley defeats Michael Aswell at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."

If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.