Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Market shows a close probability for María Corina Machado entering Venezuela by April 30.

The prediction market indicates a near-even split regarding María Corina Machado's potential entry into Venezuela, with a slight lean towards 'NO'. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, suggesting a balanced outlook but with notable uncertainty.

• 1 Current market probability shows a slight edge for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability is closely aligned with market expectations.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 80/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is significant, allowing for potential changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.