Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Market strongly indicates María Corina Machado will not enter Venezuela by January 31.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability that María Corina Machado will not enter Venezuela by January 31, aligning closely with the Pulse AI's assessment of a 99% probability for the same outcome. This consensus suggests a strong belief in the current political and logistical barriers preventing her entry into the country.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against her entry, reflecting strong sentiment.
• 2 Political climate in Venezuela appears stable against her return.
• 3 Historical trends suggest low likelihood of opposition figures entering under current conditions.
• 4 Liquidity in the market is sufficient to support current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is unclear, but the current expiry date is a critical factor.

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.