Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?

Market strongly indicates María Corina Machado will not enter Venezuela by March 8.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability against María Corina Machado entering Venezuela by March 8, suggesting a strong consensus on her absence. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar stance, with a 99% probability against her entry, indicating high confidence in this outcome. The edge of 1 implies that the market is fairly priced based on current information.

• 1 Market shows unanimous sentiment against Machado's entry.
• 2 High confidence level suggests strong consensus among participants.
• 3 Pulse AI closely aligns with market probability, reinforcing the outlook.
• 4 Current political climate appears unfavorable for her entry.
• 5 No imminent events suggest a shift in the current probabilities.

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and March 8, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.