Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Max Verstappen is highly unlikely to achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus against Max Verstappen achieving pole position, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge of 0.95. With 138 hours until expiry, there is still time for potential shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming sentiment against Verstappen achieving pole.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal confidence in a YES outcome.
• 3 The edge indicates that the market is likely accurately priced.
• 4 Time until the event allows for possible changes in dynamics.
• 5 Factors such as team performance and weather could influence outcomes.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 13, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Mar 20, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.