Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Max Verstappen is highly unlikely to finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Max Verstappen finishing on the podium, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1%. This indicates a general expectation that external factors may not favor Verstappen's podium finish in this event.

• 1 Market strongly favors 'NO' outcome for Verstappen's podium finish.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight divergence but still leans towards 'NO'.
• 3 Current market probability indicates low confidence in Verstappen's performance.
• 4 Time to expiry is relatively short at 164 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced without significant anomalies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Chinese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Chinese Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Chinese Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.