Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Max Verstappen is not expected to secure pole position at the 2026 Japanese Grand Prix.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Max Verstappen achieving pole position, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of a 'YES' outcome at 1%.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors 'NO' for Verstappen's pole position.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a lack of confidence in Verstappen's qualifying performance.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates a solid consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is relatively short at 155 hours, adding urgency to market dynamics.

This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 28, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 4, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.

For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.