Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Mercedes has a 64.5% chance of winning the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship.

The prediction market indicates a strong likelihood of Mercedes becoming the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion, with a probability of 64.5%. This suggests confidence in their performance and competitiveness in the upcoming season. The market is currently viewed as fairly priced, reflecting a balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors Mercedes strongly at 64.5%.
• 2 The market is perceived to be fairly priced with no edge.
• 3 Confidence level is relatively high at 75 out of 100.
• 4 Time to expiry is substantial, allowing for potential shifts in team dynamics.
• 5 Historical performance trends may influence future probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.