Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?

The market strongly favors that MrBeast's next video won't reach 50 million views on day 1.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that MrBeast's next video will not achieve 50 million views on its first day. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a low likelihood of reaching that view count. With a confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced at this time.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 50 million views.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a slight chance of exceeding the view threshold.
• 3 High confidence level indicates market stability in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in viewer interest.
• 5 Historical performance of MrBeast's videos may influence future expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.