High confidence that MrBeast's next video will reach 25-30 million views on day 1.
The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 99.95% probability that MrBeast's next video will achieve between 25 and 30 million views on its first day. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 96.95%, indicating a high level of confidence among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -3.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.