Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

The market strongly favors that MrBeast's next video will not reach 30-35 million views on day 1.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that MrBeast's upcoming video will not achieve between 30 and 35 million views on its first day. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 97.95% probability for the 'NO' outcome. This suggests a consensus that the video's view count will fall short of this range.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a 'NO' outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slightly more optimistic view with 2.05% for 'YES'.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 75/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is 528 hours, allowing for potential shifts in audience sentiment.
• 5 Historical performance of MrBeast's videos may influence future expectations.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.