Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Market strongly predicts MrBeast's next video will not reach 40-45 million views on day 1.

The market shows a definitive stance against MrBeast's upcoming video achieving 40 to 45 million views on its first day, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating low expectations for the video's performance in this view range.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative for high view counts.
• 2 Historical performance of MrBeast's videos may not support this view range.
• 3 Market probability suggests a well-priced prediction without significant edge.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in viewer interest or engagement.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the responsiveness of the market to new information.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.