Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

The market predicts MrBeast's next video will not reach 45-50 million views on day 1.

Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome, with a probability of 100%. The Pulse AI also reflects this view, estimating a 98% chance that the video will not achieve the target views. With a confidence level of 85/100, the market appears to be fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a low probability of reaching the target views.
• 3 Confidence level suggests strong belief in the current market position.
• 4 Time to expiry allows for potential shifts in audience interest.
• 5 Recent viewership trends for MrBeast's videos may influence outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.