Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

Low probability for Naomi Osaka to win the 2026 Women’s US Open.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against Naomi Osaka winning the 2026 Women’s US Open, with a 98.45% NO probability. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of her success in this event. The market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Osaka's recent performance may influence future probabilities.
• 3 Historical data suggests low win rates for returning players post-injury.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.
• 5 Time until the event allows for potential shifts in player form.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.