Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

New Zealand is highly unlikely to win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup.

The market shows a strong consensus against New Zealand winning the tournament, with a 99.95% probability of NO. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of YES at 1%, indicating a general lack of confidence in New Zealand's chances.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for New Zealand.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal confidence in New Zealand's chances.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with little room for movement.
• 4 Historical performance may influence perceptions of New Zealand's competitiveness.
• 5 Uncertainty around team dynamics could impact future probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.