Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?

Newcastle has a 26% chance of reaching the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals.

The prediction market indicates a 26% probability for Newcastle to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals, suggesting a significant belief that they will not progress. With an edge of 0, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting balanced sentiment. The confidence level of 80/100 indicates a strong consensus among participants regarding this outcome.

• 1 Current market probability for YES is 26%, indicating skepticism about Newcastle's advancement.
• 2 NO probability stands at 74%, reflecting stronger belief in their elimination.
• 3 Market pricing shows no edge, suggesting fair valuation of Newcastle's chances.
• 4 Confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong participant conviction in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry is 761 hours, allowing for potential shifts in team performance or circumstances.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League quarter-finals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.