Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Low probability for Nico Hulkenberg to win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix.

The market indicates a strong belief that Nico Hulkenberg will not win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, with a 98.75% probability for 'NO'. Despite a slightly higher AI probability of 6.25% for 'YES', the overall confidence level remains moderate at 50/100, suggesting uncertainty in the predictions.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors 'NO'.
• 2 AI models show a slightly more optimistic view for Hulkenberg.
• 3 The edge of 5 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting mixed opinions.
• 5 Time to expiry is 452 hours, allowing for potential shifts in sentiment.

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, scheduled for Mar 29, 2026.

If the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Apr 5, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.