Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?

The market strongly favors Jokic not leading in points for the 2025-26 NBA season.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.65% for Jokic not leading in points, suggesting widespread skepticism about his scoring potential. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 1.85% for him to lead, indicating a consensus against this outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100 and a time to expiry of 712 hours, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors Jokic not leading in points.
• 2 The probability gap between market and AI suggests a consensus on Jokic's scoring potential.
• 3 Historical performance trends may influence perceptions of Jokic's scoring ability.
• 4 Market confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty around the prediction.
• 5 Time remaining until expiry allows for potential shifts in player performance or team changes.

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest points per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest points per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).