Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Market indicates a low probability of Jokic winning the 2025-2026 NBA MVP.

The prediction market shows a 6% probability for Nikola Jokic winning the MVP award, with a strong consensus against it at 94%. This suggests that current sentiment and expectations heavily favor other candidates for the award. The market appears fairly priced, indicating no significant edge for bettors at this time.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a 'NO' outcome for Jokic's MVP chances.
• 2 The probability of 6% aligns with the general consensus among analysts.
• 3 No significant edge indicates the market is well-balanced and fairly priced.
• 4 Jokic's historical performance may influence future probabilities if he excels.
• 5 Time until the award announcement allows for potential shifts in player performance and team dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nikola Jokic is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.